JRH Address to Security Council (as written) Timor-Leste, Challenges in Nation-Building and Peace Consolidation By H. E. J. Ramos-Horta President of the Republic Nobel Peace Prize Laureate (1996) Address to the Security Council New York, 19th February 2009 Today Timor-Leste is at peace and our economy is doing very well with more than 10% real growth at the end of 2008. With a 2009 budget of US$680 million and US$200 million in donor assistance, I believe we will be able to maintain a two-digit growth this year in spite of the international financial crisis. Mr. President, Mr. Secretary-General, Distinguished Members of the Council, Thank you for giving me the floor. It is always a privilege to speak before this august body and in doing so I wish to reiterate my sincere gratitude and that of the people of Timor- Leste for the steady engagement by the United Nations in assisting us to overcome the inevitable, predictable setbacks, all natural challenges, in nation-building and peace-consolidation. Your presence here Mr. Secretary-General honors and touches me as it illustrates your strong commitment to the well-being of the people of Timor-Leste and your determined leadership in ensuring that we succeed. I am pleased to be here in the company of the Secretary-General’s Special Representative Dr. Atul Khare, someone who has earned the gratitude and respect of all of us, leaders and common people, because of his intimate knowledge of Timor-Leste, integrity and dedication. I wish also to commend the international and national staff of UNMIT, in particular UNPOL, for their self-less dedication to our country and the cause of peace. Almost exactly a year ago, 11th February 2008, I was in that dark frontier between Life and Death. At this time doctors and nurses of the Aspen Medical Center in Dili were operating on me and then I was flown to the Royal Darwin Hospital where I was very well looked after. The Almighty God decided to defer my departure from this Earth and guided the hands of the doctors and nurses who operated on me. Once again to the devoted doctors and nurses in Dili and Darwin, family and friends, anonymous thousands around the world, leaders and common people, of all walks of life and age, to ALL who prayed for me countless hours, in my own beloved country and elsewhere, I reiterate my eternal gratitude. I wish also to reiterate my heartfelt gratitude to you, Mr. Secretary-General, for your personal interest and concern about my well-being, as well to the members of the Security Council for holding an emergency session following the 11th Feb 2008 attacks on me and the Prime Minister. Mr. President, I recall my appearance here before this august body on 5th May 2006, as my country began the descent towards renewed social unrest. I said then that Dili was a city on the edge, and fear was palpable. I appealed to you then to take decisive action in preventing the worse. Upon my return to Timor-Leste, I began intense efforts to bring about dialogue and an end to the tensions and to prevent the worse from happening. I met with all, and I emphasize ALL East Timorese actors, in my attempts to bridge the divide, and I regularly briefed the diplomatic community. A meeting involving all civilian and military leaders was to be held in the last week of May. However on 23rd and 25th May 2006, separate but related violent incidents occurred compromising my efforts. As the security situation deteriorated by the end of May 2006, the East Timorese political and military leadership decided to put aside our pride and appeal to friends to assist us immediately. Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia and Portugal responded positively. Their prompt response and the expeditious deployment of troops with credible force and equipment can be classified today as a remarkable success and sets a new precedent in peace enforcement history. In August 2006 the Security Council established UNMIT with a robust police component but without a peace-keeping force with airborne and extraction capability. As Malaysian and Portuguese Formed Police Units integrated the new UNPOL, we negotiated with Australia, New Zealand and the United Nations a unique tri-lateral arrangement that remains in force today and has proved to be extremely effective. I wish to register my appreciation for the decision of this Council to renew UNMIT’s mandate until Feb 2010 as contained in the draft resolution. In my view, the International Stabilization Force (ISF) comprising Australia and New Zealand should be continued in tandem with UNMIT’s own mandate. I am here today in a much different, more positive and promising scenario. In mid 2006, our country was sucked into the most serious challenge and danger since 2002. As a result, our vulnerable economy that had shown signs of recovery in 2005 contracted to below zero growth. But as the crisis was eased out by the end of 2006, 2007 saw some robust recovery with non-oil GDP estimated to have grown 8% in real terms. Today, Timor-Leste is at peace. The International Crisis Group’s most recent report on the situation in Timor-Leste concluded that “…security in Timor-Leste is strikingly improved. Armed groups are no longer at large. The atmosphere in the streets of Dili is far less tense”. Incidents ranging from assault to homicide have significantly declined since 2007 in comparison with previous years and even with some more established democracies. For instance, a UN compilation of data comparing incidents of assault reveals that in 2008 there were 169.1 assaults per 100,000 people in Timor-Leste while there were 796 cases recorded in two major industrialized countries. During the same period and based on crime per 100,000 people, there were 3.2 cases of homicide in Timor-Leste and 5.6 in a major industrialized country. Our economy is doing very well with more than 10% real growth at the end of 2008. With a 2009 budget of US$680 million and US$200 million in donor programs, I believe we will be able to maintain two-digit growth in spite of the international financial crisis. Why and how do I make such an optimistic prognosis for our economy in 2009? We are an importing nation, importing basic foods like rice to cement and steel. While our petroleum revenues will be significantly reduced, so will our import bill as commodity prices fall. We have strong liquidity in our Petroleum Fund, more than US$4 billion, which we can draw from to continue to invest in strategic sectors of the economy and thus fuel economic growth and relative wealth. Apart from continuing a firm commitment to investing in Education and Health, the 2009 budget shows that the total amounted allocated for agriculture (US$34 million) and infrastructure (US$130 million) increased substantially. The 2007-8 food crisis was a wake up call to all of us. In a number of comments then I said that we must not always react to crisis with fear and despair but rather we must seize and turn them into opportunities. In the case of Timor-Leste the food crisis prompted the government to refocus attention on the agricultural sector with greater investment in provision of high yield seeds, tractors and hand tractors, enabling farmers to learn new farming techniques and expanding food production. As a further incentive the government purchases locally produced nonperishable produces like rice, corn, beans, etc above international market prices. The purchased items are then redistributed to hospitals, schools and vulnerable groups. As a result of a timely and pro-active government intervention Timor-Leste was able to avoid social unrest and instability and further deterioration of the livelihood of the poor. In the 2009 budget US$205m were allocated for major capital development projects, including the building of a new national electricity project to provide reliable and cheap electricity within 2 to 3 years for the whole country. This is a heavy-fuel based power plant with new transmission lines that can be switched to gas and wind power. However, we believe that even if we are able to operate with gas and wind energy, Timor-Leste will continue to need a supplemental support from heavy-fuel based energy. There will be strict monitoring to ensure that the project will be in full compliance with the World Bank environmental standards and the Kyoto protocol. An international tender will be announced shortly for an independent consultant to oversee the implementation of the project in all its technical aspects as well as the environment impact. In the next 10 years, the Government will have to mobilize around US$5 billion to build a new international airport (estimated cost: US$700 million), a new port (estimated cost: US$300 million) and a modern, first class network of national and rural roads (estimated cost: US$1 to US$2 billion). There are no shortcuts to development and modernization and there are no miracles. I have told my good friend Prime Minister Xanana Gusmao to be audacious, courageous, decisive, take risks and you will be remembered as a Lee Kwan Yew (Singapore) or Muhammad Mahathir (Malaysia), leaders with vision and courage who have transformed their countries from conflict and poverty to peace and prosperity in one generation. As the Secretary-General notes in his Report, the events of 11th February 2008 have resulted in a kind of ‘Watershed ’. We have turned the corner. Let me share with you some facts. Internally Displaced Persons The visible calm and feeling of security in the country have enabled the Government’s ongoing success with the National Recovery Strategy. Fifty-eight camps out of 60 in 2006-7 have now closed. There are few small remaining camps in Dili, which the Ministry of Social Solidarity is working to have closed in the first months of 2009. The Ministry of Social Solidarity, with the assistance of the UN is continuing to address the needs of the IDPs and the receiving communities, as well as monitoring the situation in receiving communities to see that any problems that may arise as a result of the relocation will be addressed in an appropriate manner. The government led by Prime Minister Kay Rala Xanana Gusmão has, in one year, managed to resolve many of the outstanding problems, inherited from the 2006 crisis. In about one and a half year, the situations related to IDPs, petitioners, pensions for the elderly, vulnerable and former combatants of the national liberation, were resolved. Security Sector Reform The security sector, reform and further development of our national police and defense forces, has been my main concern and I have made it a priority of my presidency. This commitment was already demonstrated when I took office as Prime Minister in the midst of the 2006 crisis. Speaking then before our National Parliament I defined my role as an army chaplain and pledged to heal the wounds of the heart and soul - and not buy more weapons. I made it a priority to heal the wounds within our police and defense forces, between the two institutions, and between them and the people. I was conscious then and remain so that only a healthy relationship of trust between the two security institutions can ensure that the 2006 crisis will not reoccur. I have continued in this effort as President in partnership with the Speaker of our National Parliament and Prime Minister and I believe we have achieved much since. Today we can say with a degree of confidence that much of the divisions within the two institutions have been resolved. This does not imply that all the weaknesses and failings have been overcome. We still have a long way to professionalize and modernize the two security forces but I believe we can achieve our most ambitious goals by 2012. In line with the Government’s view that “the rebuilding of the national police is a long undertaking, requiring national ownership and continued international assistance” (Government of RDTL’s Statement to the Security Council, 18 August 2008), key developments in regard to Security Sector Reform have focused on greater consultation and participation. With the assistance of UNMIT, and following the signing of the Security Sector Review Project between the UN and the Government of Timor-Leste, the government will undertake a comprehensive review of the security sector. A number of activities were undertaken last year to support the strengthening of national institutions. In September 2008, a broad spectrum of Timorese society, Police and Military personnel, parliamentarians and government officials met together in a government-initiated process to develop the National Security Policy at the Asia Pacific Centre for Security Studies in Honolulu, Hawaii. In an effort to canvas broader opinions and views, a nationwide survey is being conducted on perceptions of security threats and of the security sector in general. In December 2008, I and the Prime Minister, with full support from UNMIT, co-hosted a Security Sector Reform and Development Seminar. This seminar brought together a range of diverse national and international actors to discuss topics such as national security legislation and policy and was an important step in developing a consensus vision on what Timor-Leste would like to achieve in the security sector. Key legislation such as the national security law, the national defense law and the internal security law has been drafted. The resumption of policing responsibilities by Policia Nacional de Timor-Leste (PNTL) from UNMIT has sparked a calling for greater training and logistical support from PNTL officers, ever-conscious of their need to be prepared for the eventual overall resumption of policing responsibilities from UNPOL. The establishment of assessment teams, the handover of districts and Terms of References for a Joint Technical Team (which will monitor the Transition process) are currently being finalized. With regard to handover in the districts, the decision will be based on the attainment of four criteria: (a) the ability of the PNTL to respond appropriately to the security environment in a given district; (b) final certification of at least 80 percent of eligible PNTL officers in a given district/unit to be handed over; (c) the availability of initial operational logistical requirements; and (d) institutional stability. The PNTL and the Secretary of State for Security, together with UNMIT, are finalizing the indicators that will be used to assess the overall criteria. We are also discussing the work of joint assessment teams that will determine whether a district or unit has achieved the criteria. The hand-over itself will be of vital importance as a confidence-building exercise for officers of the PNTL, but the government also realizes that it is only one stage in the development of a mature, professional, disciplined and neutral police force with due regard for human rights and the rule of law. Justice In 2008, a number of key challenges faced the justice sector, including insufficient capacity, issues with the makeup of the Court of Appeal and insufficiently robust institutions. However, despite these challenges, there were some significant accomplishments. The drafting and review of important legislation for the development of the legal framework in Timor-Leste was completed. Draft laws regarding witness protection, juveniles, the establishment of an anti-corruption commission, domestic violence and the criminal code are now for review and adoption before the Council of Ministers. Efforts have been made to enhance cooperation between the prosecution and police. This cooperation has been in regard to serving notifications, a long awaited transfer of prosecution files to their respective jurisdictions in two districts (Baukau and Oe-cússi) and the consideration of an overall case management system which is hoped will result in a significant increase in the number of criminal cases processed. A strategy has also been formulated to further reform the corrections service. The Fight Against Poverty The recent Timor-Leste Survey of Living Standards (TLSLS) conducted by the National Directorate of Statistics and analyzed by the World Bank has revealed that the incidence of poverty increased significantly between 2001 -2006 from 36.3% to 49.9%. As a result of the decline in the non-oil economy, in per capita terms, the real non-oil Gross Domestic Product fell by 12% in the same period despite Timor-Leste’s oil revenues increasing. The next Survey will reveal the impact of the Government’s policies currently being implemented. However, with increased Government expenditure since the last quarter of 2007, non-oil GDP has increased dramatically which will reverse the decline in per capita GDP shown in TLSLS, hence should begin to reduce poverty levels. While poverty levels seem to have increased in the years 2001 to 2006 I believe that Timor- Leste remains on target to achieve the MDGs by 2015 if the government and our development partners continue to work hand in hand in enhancing support for rural development, job creation, public health and education. Other highlights from 2009 budget include vital social programs to reduce poverty via US$96m in transfers for pension to support veterans, elderly and disabled. In conclusion, Mr. President, what you have heard from me are the natural and inevitable challenges facing most developing countries and in particular post-conflict communities. Nation-building and peace-consolidation are lengthy processes that require patience and steady commitment by all. In august this year we will mark the 10th anniversary of the Popular Consultation” that brought about our freedom but also saw the complete devastation of our country with its staggering human toll. In the last ten years, with United Nations assistance and of our friends, we began the painful process of healing the heart and soul, building bridges of reconciliation among the fractured East Timorese communities, building infrastructures and institutions, creating an economy, and building bridges with our neighbors. Nation-building and peace-building require vision and long-term, steady commitment. This is true in my country and is equally true in Haiti, Palestine, Somalia, Afghanistan, Sierra Leon, Liberia, Congo, etc. The list is a very long one. The challenges are always overwhelming and might discourage the weak and the impatient. Only the few who dare to dream and act on their dreams of an ideal abode for all human beings will see the fruits of their dream. On my part I will do my best to relieve the burden of the international community, not to betray your trust, as you have been too patient and generous. I will do my best not to fail my people, not to betray their trust. For those who are too quick to make simplistic and sweeping judgments about the perceived failures of the United Nations, I am here to testify that we the East-Timorese much owe to the United Nations our very existence. A recent nation-wide survey conducted by the International Republican Institute of people’s perceptions found that - UNMIT had an approval rate of 75%; - The Government 66%; - The PM 79%; - The PNTL 80%; - The defense force 78%. And for those in the Media and pseudo academics with a penchant for using clichés like failing state” inserted in their sanctimonious lectures on my country, I can only say, admittedly with some not well disguised disdain, we are doing very well, thank you. May God the Almighty and the Merciful Bless Us All. END Annex - International Crisis Group Report - UNPOL Comparative Crime Date Compilation (2007-8) - Press Release, 7Feb09, Ministry of Finance, “The 2009 General State Budget for Timor-Leste Promulgated” - Timor-Leste IDPs Information, 2009, Ministry of Social Solidarity